Match

San Fernando CD vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

San Fernando CDSan Bartolomé

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Fernando CD vs San Bartolomé?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate San Fernando CD (1,742) and San Bartolomé (1,707).

San Fernando CD win52 %
Draw26 %
San Bartolomé win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Arucas(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15
San Bartolomé1.11.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14San Bartolomé3481214305536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs San Bartolomé?
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for San Bartolomé.
Where and when is San Fernando CD vs San Bartolomé played?
San Fernando CD vs San Bartolomé is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Fernando CD and San Bartolomé

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