Marquense vs Mixco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mixco. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marquense vs Mixco?
On Elo ratings, Marquense has 1,625 points and Mixco 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marquense vs Mixco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marquense
4-3-3- 18E. Sanchez
- 9David Grande
- 10L. García
- 70Y. Hernandez
- 17D. Chuc
- 11D. Ocaheta
- 79Ó. Linton
- 2R. Corado
- 66C. Santos
- 5E. Vasquez
- 1G. Gutiérrez
Mixco
4-3-3- 10G. Arce
- 99N. Martinez
- 18J. Bolanos
- 11Y. Pozuelos
- 9L. García
- 26Jerry
- 5D. Méndez
- 6C. Jiménez
- 33J. Sotomayor
- 16J. Urizar
- 30K. Moscoso
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marquense have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mixco have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marquense win, 1 draw, 4 Mixco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mixco 1-0 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Mixco 2-1 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Marquense 2-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Marquense 1-2 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Mixco 1-0 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Marquense 1-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Marquense score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mixco score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mixco | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marquense sit 8th in Liga Nacional (30 points from 22 matches) and Mixco sit 3rd (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 36 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
A question about Marquense vs Mixco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marquense vs Mixco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mixco.
- Where and when is Marquense vs Mixco played?
- Marquense vs Mixco is played on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.