Marquense vs Guastatoya: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Guastatoya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?
On Elo ratings, Marquense has 1,632 points and Guastatoya 1,667.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marquense vs Guastatoya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marquense
4-3-3- 18E. Sanchez
- 9David Grande
- 10L. García
- 17D. Chuc
- 70Y. Hernandez
- 11D. Ocaheta
- 79Ó. Linton
- 2R. Corado
- 66C. Santos
- 5E. Vasquez
- 1G. Gutiérrez
Guastatoya
4-3-3- 22V. Avalos
- 13Á. Tejeda
- 25G. O. Cruz
- 88C. Alvarado
- 18N. Lovato
- 10M. Sequén
- 44E. Yori
- 32B. Lemus
- 33A. Contreras
- 23V. Armas
- 1R. Escobar
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marquense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guastatoya have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marquense win, 1 draw, 4 Guastatoya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guastatoya 1-2 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Guastatoya 4-0 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Marquense 2-2 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Guastatoya 5-0 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Marquense 0-2 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Guastatoya 1-0 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Guastatoya vs Marquense on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marquense score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guastatoya score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guastatoya | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marquense sit 8th in Liga Nacional (30 points from 22 matches) and Guastatoya sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
A question about Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Guastatoya.
- Where and when is Marquense vs Guastatoya played?
- Marquense vs Guastatoya is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.