Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Marsaxlokk Ground, Marsaxlokk
The Footlab model makes Marsaxlokk the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Sliema Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Marsaxlokk (1,571) and Sliema Wanderers (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marsaxlokk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sliema Wanderers have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marsaxlokk win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sliema Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Marsaxlokk 1-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers 0-0 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Marsaxlokk 2-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Marsaxlokk 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marsaxlokk score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marsaxlokk sit 4th in Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Sliema Wanderers sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marsaxlokk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Marsaxlokk the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Sliema Wanderers.
- Where and when is Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers played?
- Marsaxlokk vs Sliema Wanderers is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Marsaxlokk Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.