Balzan FC vs Birkirkara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Balzan FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balzan FC vs Birkirkara?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Balzan FC (1,435) and Birkirkara (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balzan FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Birkirkara have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Melita(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Balzan FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Birkirkara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Birkirkara 2-1 Balzan FC | FA Trophy |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Birkirkara 5-2 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Balzan FC 3-3 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Birkirkara 1-1 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Balzan FC 0-3 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Balzan FC 2-1 Birkirkara | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Birkirkara vs Balzan FC on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Balzan FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birkirkara score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Birkirkara | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balzan FC sit 8th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Birkirkara sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Birkirkara | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balzan FC vs Birkirkara?
- The Footlab model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Balzan FC.
- Where and when is Balzan FC vs Birkirkara played?
- Balzan FC vs Birkirkara is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.