Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hamrun Spartans. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Valletta FC (1,623) and Hamrun Spartans (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valletta FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamrun Spartans have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 15, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valletta FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hamrun Spartans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Valletta FC 0-2 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Valletta FC 2-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Valletta FC 3-1 Hamrun Spartans | FA Trophy |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Valletta FC 0-0 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Valletta FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valletta FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hamrun Spartans score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valletta FC sit 1st in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Hamrun Spartans sit 9th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Hamrun Spartans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
- The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hamrun Spartans.
- Where and when is Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans played?
- Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.