Mosta vs Hibernians: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Charles Abela Memorial Stadium, Mosta
The Footlab AI model makes Mosta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hibernians. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mosta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosta vs Hibernians?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Mosta (1,426) and Hibernians (1,468).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosta vs Hibernians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosta
4-3-3- 7Nevin Portelli
- 30N. Cross
- 23A. Kozic
- 10Giancarlo
- 14E. Agyiri
- 66G. Acheampong
- 11K. Zammit
- 93Thiaguinho
- 5Sasha Cachia
- 3M. Bolaños
- 22Akpan Udoh
Hibernians
4-3-3- 7J. Mbong
- 34A. Sobczyk
- 18Ryder Matos
- 47M. El Fanis
- 8J. Wahling
- 11B. Kristensen
- 5K. Shaw
- 3M. Römling
- 23M. Ellul
- 24L. Lacunza
- 1M. Cardinali
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hibernians have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mosta win, 1 draw, 4 Hibernians wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hibernians 2-0 Mosta | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hibernians 1-0 Mosta | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Hibernians 0-2 Mosta | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mosta 2-2 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Hibernians 2-0 Mosta | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Hibernians 3-2 Mosta | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosta score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernians score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosta | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Hibernians | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosta sit 5th in Premier League (11 points from 6 matches) and Hibernians sit 9th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Mosta vs Hibernians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosta vs Hibernians?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mosta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hibernians.
- Where and when is Mosta vs Hibernians played?
- Mosta vs Hibernians is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Charles Abela Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.