Gzira United vs Birzebbuga: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab model makes Gzira United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Birzebbuga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gzira United vs Birzebbuga?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Gzira United (1,464) and Birzebbuga (1,391).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gzira United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Birzebbuga have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Melita(away) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Victoria Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Swieqi United(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gzira United score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Birzebbuga score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gzira United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Birzebbuga | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gzira United sit 12th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Birzebbuga sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gzira United vs Birzebbuga?
- The Footlab model makes Gzira United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Birzebbuga.
- Where and when is Gzira United vs Birzebbuga played?
- Gzira United vs Birzebbuga is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.