Marseille vs Toulouse: result 3-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 6, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Toulouse?
Marseille won 3-2 on April 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′G. SuazoMarseille (o.g.)
- 28′F. MagriToulouse
- 57′M. GreenwoodMarseille
- 64′A. RabiotMarseille
- 76′V. SierroToulouse
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Reims(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Lens(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Nantes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Auxerre(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Angers(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Le Havre(away) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marseille win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse 2-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse 2-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Marseille 6-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Marseille 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Toulouse vs Marseille on Aug 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 1st in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Toulouse sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy