Marseille vs Toulouse: result 2-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2025 at 08:05 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Toulouse?
Marseille and Toulouse drew 2-2 on November 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′EmersonnToulouse
- 66′Igor PaixãoMarseille
- 74′P. HøjbjergMarseille
- 90′S. HidalgoToulouse
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Newcastle(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Nice(away) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Atalanta(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Angers(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Lorient(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Le Havre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Rennes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Monaco(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marseille win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Marseille 3-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse 2-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse 2-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Marseille 6-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 5th in Ligue 1 (59 points from 34 matches) and Toulouse sit 10th (44 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 59 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy