Marseille vs Toulouse: result 2-2 and analysis
Coupe de FranceQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Toulouse?
Marseille and Toulouse drew 2-2 on March 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′M. GreenwoodMarseille (pen.)
- 13′Y. GbohoToulouse
- 56′Igor PaixãoMarseille
- 60′C. CresswellToulouse
Official lineup for Marseille vs Toulouse
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Marseille
4-2-3-1- 17P. Aubameyang
- 14Igor Paixão
- 8H. Abdelli
- 10M. Greenwood
- 18A. Vermeeren
- 19G. Kondogbia
- 32F. Medina
- 21N. Aguerd
- 5L. Balerdi
- 22T. Weah
- 1G. Rulli
Toulouse
5-4-1- 20Emersonn
- 10Y. Gboho
- 18P. Diop
- 23C. Cásseres
- 15A. Dønnum
- 24D. Methalie
- 2R. Nicolaisen
- 4C. Cresswell
- 3M. McKenzie
- 19D. Sidibé
- 16K. Haug
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toulouse have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-0 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-0 | Coupe de France |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marseille wins, 3 draws, 0 Toulouse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Marseille 2-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Marseille 3-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse 2-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse 2-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marseille vs Toulouse on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Marseille vs Toulouse?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy