Mārupe vs Ogre United: result 0-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Ogre United?
Ogre United won 0-1 on November 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′V. MashchenkoOgre United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Ogre United have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Smiltene(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mārupe win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ogre United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Ogre United 3-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ogre United 3-0 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Mārupe 3-2 Ogre United | 1. Liga |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Ogre United 2-7 Mārupe | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ogre United vs Mārupe on Jul 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre United score 2.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ogre United | 2.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy