Mārupe vs Smiltene: result 3-1 and analysis
CupPlay-off RoundKick-off on June 22, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
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What was the result of Mārupe vs Smiltene?
Mārupe won 3-1 on June 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′?Mārupe
- 34′?Mārupe
- 42′?Mārupe
- 74′M. ĒrglisSmiltene
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Smiltene have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Smiltene(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Ogre United(away) | 7-2 | Cup |
| May 25, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Valmiera II(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Mārupe(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Madona / BJSS(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| May 25, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Valmiera II(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mārupe win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Smiltene win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Smiltene 0-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Mārupe 3-3 Smiltene | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.5 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 2.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy