Mārupe vs Smiltene: result 3-3 and analysis
Cup2nd RoundKick-off on June 11, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Smiltene?
Mārupe and Smiltene drew 3-3 on June 11, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 31′?Smiltene
- 32′?Smiltene
- 40′?Mārupe
- 51′?Smiltene
- 53′?Mārupe
- 90′?Mārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Smiltene have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2022 | Sigulda(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Auda(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Talsu NSS / Laidze(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Albatroz(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2022 | FS Jelgava(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 22, 2022 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga |
| May 14, 2022 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| May 8, 2022 | Valmiera II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 2.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Smiltene score 1.3 and concede 3.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Smiltene | 1.3 | 3.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mārupe vs Smiltene?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy