Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, Pyatigorsk
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mashuk-KMV, 35% for a draw, 32% for Dinamo Kirov. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Mashuk-KMV (1,800) and Dinamo Kirov (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashuk-KMV have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Dinamo Kirov have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaluga(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Broke Boys(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mashuk-KMV win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Kirov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov 0-0 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Mashuk-KMV 0-2 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Dinamo Kirov 1-2 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Kirov vs Mashuk-KMV on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashuk-KMV score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Kirov score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashuk-KMV | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dinamo Kirov | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashuk-KMV sit 5th in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Kirov sit 2nd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Mashuk-KMV | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mashuk-KMV, 35% for a draw, 32% for Dinamo Kirov.
- Where and when is Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov played?
- Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.