Matagalpa vs Real Estelí: result 1-4 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador, Matagalpa
Full time
What was the result of Matagalpa vs Real Estelí?
Real Estelí won 1-4 on October 11, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Estelí win at 66%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-2. Actual score: 1-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matagalpa have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Real Estelí have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | UNAN Managua(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rancho Santana(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jalapa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Marcos(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | UNAN Managua(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Managua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rancho Santana(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | San Marcos(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | H&H Export(away) | 5-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Matagalpa win, 3 draws, 2 Real Estelí wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Estelí 2-0 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Estelí 0-0 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Matagalpa 1-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Matagalpa 1-0 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Estelí 2-1 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Real Estelí 1-1 Matagalpa | Copa Nicaragua |
Last archived meeting: Real Estelí vs Matagalpa on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Matagalpa score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matagalpa | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Estelí | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matagalpa sit 8th in Primera Division (10 points from 13 matches) and Real Estelí sit 4th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Estelí | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 10 |
A question about Matagalpa vs Real Estelí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy