Mathare United vs Mara Sugar: result 2-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 28, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Mathare United vs Mara Sugar?
Mathare United won 2-1 on March 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′?Mara Sugar
- 53′?Mathare United (o.g.)
- 67′?Mathare United (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mathare United have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Mara Sugar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KCB(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Bidco United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Talanta(home) | 4-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mathare United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mara Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Mara Sugar 3-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Mathare United | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Mathare United 2-0 Mara Sugar | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs Mathare United on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mathare United score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mathare United sit 14th in FKF Premier League (41 points from 34 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy