Match

Kochi United vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno

Kochi UnitedKagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kochi United vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,636).

Kochi United win23 %
Draw28 %
Kagoshima United win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)4-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kochi United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kagoshima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2025Kagoshima United 4-1 Kochi UnitedJ3 League
Mar 15, 2025Kochi United 2-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Kochi United on Sep 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15
Kagoshima United1.50.757/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
11Kochi United3111284

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Kochi United vs Kagoshima United played?
Kochi United vs Kagoshima United is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kochi United and Kagoshima United

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