Sagamihara vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,770) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sagamihara win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sagamihara 0-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Fukushima United 3-3 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Fukushima United 2-3 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Sagamihara 1-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Fukushima United 1-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Sagamihara 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Fukushima United on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Fukushima United played?
- Sagamihara vs Fukushima United is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027KanazawavsKitakyushu
- Apr 3, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsFC Gifu
- Apr 3, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsTochigi SC
- Apr 3, 2027Roasso KumamotovsKamatamare Sanuki
- Apr 3, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsEhime FC
- Apr 3, 2027FC RyukyuvsParceiro Nagano
- Apr 3, 2027Kochi UnitedvsKagoshima United
- Apr 3, 2027Nara ClubvsGainare Tottori