Match

FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu

FC GifuMatsumoto Yamaga

The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Matsumoto Yamaga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate FC Gifu (1,739) and Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701).

FC Gifu win46 %
Draw26 %
Matsumoto Yamaga win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gifu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Gifu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Toyama Shinjo(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kochi United(home)7-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)3-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-1J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ehime FC(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 16, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kochi United(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 25, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Nara Club(home)0-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Gifu win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2026FC Gifu 0-3 Matsumoto YamagaJ2/J3 League
Mar 21, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 FC GifuJ2/J3 League
Jul 26, 2025Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 FC GifuJ3 League
Mar 29, 2025FC Gifu 1-1 Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League
Aug 31, 2024FC Gifu 0-1 Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League
Mar 31, 2024Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 FC GifuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Gifu1.61.256/159/15
Matsumoto Yamaga1.51.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Gifu sit 1st in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Gifu32101007
16Matsumoto Yamaga3021452

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Matsumoto Yamaga.
Where and when is FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?
FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nagaragawa Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga

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