Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiTochigi SC

The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC?

On Elo ratings, Renofa Yamaguchi has 1,810 points and Tochigi SC 1,744.

52%27%21%
Renofa Yamaguchi winDrawTochigi SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 13Sota Watanabe
  2. 19S. Yamamoto
  3. 22Seiichiro Kubo
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 40H. Naruoka
  3. 17K. Tanabe
  1. 33S. Kikuchi
  2. 2R. Ozawa
  3. 15T. Itakura
  4. 5K. Yoshioka
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Tochigi SC

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Igarashi
  2. 9Y. Kondo
  3. 25T. Yamaguchi
  1. 15Haruki Tsutsumi
  2. 16T. Myogan
  3. 80K. Otabor
  1. 3R. Higashi
  2. 37Yuto Kimura
  3. 6K. Abe
  4. 14S. Suzuki
  1. 41R. Tashiro

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)2-1J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Kitakyushu(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-2J3 League
Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-0J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Fukushima United(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Ehime FC(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Renofa Yamaguchi wins, 3 draws, 1 Tochigi SC win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Tochigi SC 0-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League
Aug 10, 2024Renofa Yamaguchi 4-3 Tochigi SCJ2 League
Apr 7, 2024Tochigi SC 0-0 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League
Jun 24, 2023Tochigi SC 0-0 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League
Apr 8, 2023Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Tochigi SCJ2 League
Jul 23, 2022Tochigi SC 2-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.40.976/156/15
Tochigi SC0.71.175/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th in J3 League (30 points from 16 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 12th (21 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934221330
12Tochigi SC16565151621

A question about Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renofa Yamaguchi and Tochigi SC