Maya vs FocuSport: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FocuSport the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Maya. The most likely score is 1-1. If FocuSport wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maya vs FocuSport?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Maya (1,559) and FocuSport (1,582).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maya vs FocuSport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maya
Not enough data to predict the Maya lineup.
FocuSport
Not enough data to predict the FocuSport lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Maya have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats; FocuSport have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Douanes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CFFEB(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Réal du Faso(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | USFA(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rahimo(home) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SONABEL(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Douanes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Maya score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; FocuSport score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| FocuSport | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maya sit 9th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 4 matches) and FocuSport sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FocuSport | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Maya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Maya vs FocuSport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maya vs FocuSport?
- The Footlab AI model makes FocuSport the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Maya.
- Where and when is Maya vs FocuSport played?
- Maya vs FocuSport is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.