SONABEL vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If SONABEL wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SONABEL vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate SONABEL (1,608) and Vitesse (1,611).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SONABEL vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SONABEL
Not enough data to predict the SONABEL lineup.
Vitesse
Not enough data to predict the Vitesse lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SONABEL have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vitesse have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FocuSport(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Majestic(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Majestic(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RCK(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SONABEL wins, 2 draws, 2 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Vitesse 2-0 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | SONABEL 1-2 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SONABEL 0-0 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Vitesse 1-3 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Vitesse 0-0 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2023 | SONABEL 2-0 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
SONABEL score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONABEL | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SONABEL sit 8th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 4 matches) and Vitesse sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vitesse | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | SONABEL | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
A question about SONABEL vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SONABEL vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is SONABEL vs Vitesse played?
- SONABEL vs Vitesse is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.