Salitas vs Douanes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade du 4 Août, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Salitas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Douanes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salitas vs Douanes?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Salitas (1,537) and Douanes (1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salitas vs Douanes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salitas
Not enough data to predict the Salitas lineup.
Douanes
Not enough data to predict the Douanes lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salitas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Douanes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | CFFEB(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Réal du Faso(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USFA(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Maya(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FocuSport(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | CFFEB(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Salitas wins, 1 draw, 2 Douanes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Salitas 2-1 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Douanes 2-2 Salitas | Ligue 1 |
| May 5, 2025 | Douanes 0-2 Salitas | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Salitas 0-2 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2024 | Douanes 0-1 Salitas | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Salitas 0-1 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Salitas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Douanes score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salitas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Douanes | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salitas sit 16th in Ligue 1 (1 point from 4 matches) and Douanes sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Douanes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Salitas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
A question about Salitas vs Douanes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salitas vs Douanes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Salitas.
- Where and when is Salitas vs Douanes played?
- Salitas vs Douanes is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du 4 Août, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.