Match

Mazarrón FC vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón

Mazarrón FCBala Azul

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Bala Azul?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Mazarrón FC (1,796) and Bala Azul (1,733).

Mazarrón FC win51 %
Draw26 %
Bala Azul win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazarrón FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Real Murcia II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Águilas II(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026UD Caravaca(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cieza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Muleño(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mazarrón FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bala Azul win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Bala Azul 1-1 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 12, 2025Mazarrón FC 1-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 3, 2022Mazarrón FC 3-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 21, 2021Bala Azul 1-1 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Mazarrón FC on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazarrón FC1.51.159/155/15
Bala Azul1.51.369/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazarrón FC sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Bala Azul sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mazarrón FC3414146503355
11Bala Azul3471710363638

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Bala Azul?
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Bala Azul played?
Mazarrón FC vs Bala Azul is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mazarrón FC and Bala Azul

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