Where and when is Águilas II vs El Palmar played?

Águilas II vs El Palmar is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas II vs El Palmar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas

Águilas II

El Palmar

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas II vs El Palmar?

Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,640).

Águilas II win60 %

Draw24 %

El Palmar win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	El Palmar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

El Palmar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Águilas II(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Águilas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 El Palmar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Águilas II 2-1 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 20, 2025	El Palmar 0-0 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 6, 2025	El Palmar 1-1 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 24, 2024	Águilas II 2-3 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs El Palmar on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas II	1.6	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
El Palmar	0.8	1.7	5	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (52 points from 34 matches) and El Palmar sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Águilas II	34	14	10	10	47	42	52
14	El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27	48	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs El Palmar?: The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for El Palmar.
Where and when is Águilas II vs El Palmar played?: Águilas II vs El Palmar is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.