Olímpico Totana vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Cayuela, Totana
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olímpico Totana vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Olímpico Totana (1,795) and Santa Cruz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olímpico Totana have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olímpico Totana win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Santa Cruz 1-2 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Olímpico Totana 0-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olímpico Totana sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (58 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olímpico Totana vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Olímpico Totana vs Santa Cruz played?
- Olímpico Totana vs Santa Cruz is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Cayuela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsAlcantarilla
- Jan 24, 2027Mazarrón FCvsBala Azul
- Jan 24, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsSFC Minerva
- Jan 24, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsUCAM Murcia II
- Jan 24, 2027SantomeravsLos Garres
- Jan 24, 2027Águilas IIvsEl Palmar
- Jan 24, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlgar
- Jan 24, 2027San JaviervsUnión Molinense