Santomera vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Los Garres?
Santomera starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,606).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Los Garres
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Los Garres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Santomera wins, 1 draw, 0 Los Garres wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Santomera on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Los Garres sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Santomera vs Los Garres?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Los Garres played?
- Santomera vs Los Garres is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsAlcantarilla
- Jan 24, 2027Mazarrón FCvsBala Azul
- Jan 24, 2027Olímpico TotanavsSanta Cruz
- Jan 24, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsSFC Minerva
- Jan 24, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsUCAM Murcia II
- Jan 24, 2027Águilas IIvsEl Palmar
- Jan 24, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlgar
- Jan 24, 2027San JaviervsUnión Molinense