Match

Mazarrón FC vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón

Mazarrón FCBalsicas Atlético

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Balsicas Atlético?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,699).

Mazarrón FC win58 %
Draw25 %
Balsicas Atlético win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazarrón FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Real Murcia II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Águilas II(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Balsicas Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Yeclano II(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026SFC Minerva(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Águilas II(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mazarrón FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Balsicas Atlético win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Balsicas Atlético 0-0 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 22, 2025Mazarrón FC 1-0 Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazarrón FC1.51.159/155/15
Balsicas Atlético0.91.046/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazarrón FC sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Balsicas Atlético sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mazarrón FC3414146503355
13Balsicas Atlético3491015384636

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Balsicas Atlético?
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Balsicas Atlético.
Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Balsicas Atlético played?
Mazarrón FC vs Balsicas Atlético is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mazarrón FC and Balsicas Atlético

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