Where and when is Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II played?

Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Santa Cruz

UCAM Murcia II

The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,763) and UCAM Murcia II (1,844).

Santa Cruz win26 %

Draw27 %

UCAM Murcia II win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 6, 8 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Cruz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Muleño(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	El Palmar(away)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Santa Cruz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 UCAM Murcia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	UCAM Murcia II 4-0 Santa Cruz	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 15, 2025	Santa Cruz 0-1 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santa Cruz	1.0	1.1	6	4/15	6/15
UCAM Murcia II	2.3	1.3	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Cruz sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (51 points from 34 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	UCAM Murcia II	34	13	16	5	55	37	55
8	Santa Cruz	34	15	6	13	37	34	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II?: The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Santa Cruz.
Where and when is Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II played?: Santa Cruz vs UCAM Murcia II is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.