Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,634).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SFC Minerva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unión Molinense win, 2 draws, 1 SFC Minerva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | SFC Minerva 2-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Unión Molinense 5-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Unión Molinense 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | SFC Minerva 2-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 6 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 12th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva played?
- Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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