Where and when is Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva played?

Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura

Unión Molinense

SFC Minerva

The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva?

Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,694).

Unión Molinense win60 %

Draw25 %

SFC Minerva win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Molinense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unión Molinense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SFC Minerva win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	SFC Minerva 2-0 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 21, 2025	Unión Molinense 5-1 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 26, 2025	Unión Molinense 0-0 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 15, 2024	SFC Minerva 2-2 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Molinense	1.3	0.9	6	6/15	4/15
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (59 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Unión Molinense	34	17	8	9	46	34	59
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva?: The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva played?: Unión Molinense vs SFC Minerva is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.