Where and when is Bala Azul vs Los Garres played?

Bala Azul vs Los Garres is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bala Azul vs Los Garres: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala Azul

Los Garres

The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Los Garres?

Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,580).

Bala Azul win46 %

Draw28 %

Los Garres win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Los Garres
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2025	Elche(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025	Manises(home)	2-0	Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025	Manises(away)	0-2	Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022	UD Caravaca(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bala Azul win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Garres win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2022	Los Garres 0-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 14, 2021	Bala Azul 2-1 Los Garres	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Bala Azul on Mar 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15
Los Garres	0.5	2.3	1	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Los Garres?: The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Los Garres played?: Bala Azul vs Los Garres is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.