Bala Azul vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Los Garres?
Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,618).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs Los Garres
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Los Garres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bala Azul wins, 0 draws, 0 Los Garres wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | Los Garres 0-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Bala Azul 2-1 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Bala Azul on Mar 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Los Garres sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Bala Azul vs Los Garres?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Los Garres played?
- Bala Azul vs Los Garres is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026El PalmarvsAlgar
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsSan Javier
- Nov 15, 2026Mazarrón FCvsBalsicas Atlético
- Nov 15, 2026Olímpico TotanavsCartagena LU II
- Nov 15, 2026AlcantarillavsBullas Deportivo
- Nov 15, 2026Unión MolinensevsSFC Minerva
- Nov 15, 2026Águilas IIvsSantomera
- Nov 15, 2026Santa CruzvsUCAM Murcia II