Águilas II vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab AI model makes Águilas II the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águilas II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas II vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Águilas II (1,754) and Santomera (1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águilas II vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águilas II
Not enough data to predict the Águilas II lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Águilas II wins, 1 draw, 1 Santomera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Águilas II 2-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Santomera 2-2 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Santomera 2-0 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Águilas II 1-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs Santomera on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Águilas II | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Águilas II vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águilas II the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Águilas II vs Santomera played?
- Águilas II vs Santomera is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026El PalmarvsAlgar
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsSan Javier
- Nov 15, 2026Mazarrón FCvsBalsicas Atlético
- Nov 15, 2026Olímpico TotanavsCartagena LU II
- Nov 15, 2026Bala AzulvsLos Garres
- Nov 15, 2026AlcantarillavsBullas Deportivo
- Nov 15, 2026Unión MolinensevsSFC Minerva
- Nov 15, 2026Santa CruzvsUCAM Murcia II