Mazarrón FC vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Cartagena LU II?
Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mazarrón FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cartagena LU II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Cartagena LU II 2-3 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazarrón FC 1-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Mazarrón FC 1-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Cartagena LU II 1-0 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazarrón FC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazarrón FC sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Cartagena LU II sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mazarrón FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50 | 33 | 55 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Cartagena LU II?
- The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Cartagena LU II played?
- Mazarrón FC vs Cartagena LU II is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.