Match

Bala Azul vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala AzulAlgar

The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Algar?

Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,576).

58%24%18%
Bala Azul winDrawAlgar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs Algar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bala Azul

Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Algar have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Alcantarilla(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Águilas II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 12, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 6, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Santomera(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 13, 2026Bullas Deportivo(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bala Azul1.51.467/157/15
Algar0.82.416/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Algar sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Bala Azul6222778
17Algar61053133

A question about Bala Azul vs Algar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Algar?
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Algar.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Algar played?
Bala Azul vs Algar is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bala Azul and Algar

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