Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Los Garres played?

Santa Cruz vs Los Garres is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santa Cruz vs Los Garres: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Santa Cruz

Los Garres

The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Cruz vs Los Garres?

Santa Cruz starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,583).

Santa Cruz win46 %

Draw29 %

Los Garres win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Cruz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Los Garres
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2025	Elche(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025	Manises(home)	2-0	Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025	Manises(away)	0-2	Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022	UD Caravaca(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santa Cruz	1.0	1.1	6	4/15	6/15
Los Garres	0.5	2.3	1	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Santa Cruz	34	15	6	13	37	34	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Los Garres?: The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Los Garres played?: Santa Cruz vs Los Garres is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.