Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC played?

Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena

Cartagena LU II

Mazarrón FC

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,690).

Cartagena LU II win27 %

Draw28 %

Mazarrón FC win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cartagena LU II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Deportiva Minera(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Santa Cruz(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Santomera(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Mazarrón FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Águilas II(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cartagena LU II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mazarrón FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Cartagena LU II 2-3 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 28, 2025	Mazarrón FC 1-1 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 6, 2022	Mazarrón FC 1-1 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2021	Cartagena LU II 1-0 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cartagena LU II	0.9	1.2	4	6/15	5/15
Mazarrón FC	1.5	1.1	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cartagena LU II sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Mazarrón FC sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Mazarrón FC	34	14	14	6	50	33	55
12	Cartagena LU II	34	9	11	14	40	39	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC?: The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cartagena LU II.
Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC played?: Cartagena LU II vs Mazarrón FC is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.