Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar played?

Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón

Mazarrón FC

El Palmar

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,643).

Mazarrón FC win66 %

Draw22 %

El Palmar win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazarrón FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Águilas II(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

El Palmar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Águilas II(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mazarrón FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 El Palmar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Mazarrón FC 4-1 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 7, 2025	El Palmar 1-0 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 16, 2022	El Palmar 1-0 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 12, 2021	Mazarrón FC 1-1 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 19, 2020	Mazarrón FC 0-0 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 1, 2019	El Palmar 2-1 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazarrón FC	1.5	1.1	5	9/15	5/15
El Palmar	0.8	1.7	5	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazarrón FC sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and El Palmar sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Mazarrón FC	34	14	14	6	50	33	55
14	El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27	48	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar?: The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for El Palmar.
Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar played?: Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.