Atlético Pulpileño vs Algar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí
The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs Algar?
Atlético Pulpileño starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Plus Ultra(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bullense(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cieza(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Pulpileño win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Algar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Algar 0-3 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Atlético Pulpileño 0-0 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño on Apr 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Algar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs Algar?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Algar.
- Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Algar played?
- Atlético Pulpileño vs Algar is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.