Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate?
On Elo ratings, Mbeya City has 1,557 points and Fountain Gate 1,506.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 7R. Msuya
- 6M. Malima
- 22V. Mayanga
- 32O. Abdallah
- 11I. Aziz
- 13S. Sweetbert
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 4K. Pillar
- 60B. Maranyingi
- 28K. Pemba
- 30P. Munthari
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 78A. Athuman
- 53Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 33P. Shaban
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 19A. Mtambi
- 33S. Hassan
- 28M. Kilusomo
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fountain Gate have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Mbeya City wins, 1 draw, 2 Fountain Gate wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mbeya City 0-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Fountain Gate 0-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 22, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Fountain Gate 2-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Mbeya City on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Fountain Gate | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (13 points from 10 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mbeya City | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate played?
- Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate is played on February 26, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.