Azam vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraMatchday 23Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Geita Gold?
Azam is a heavy favourite: 1,912 Elo points against 1,518, a 394-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Azam vs Geita Gold
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Azam
4-3-3- 21Y. Omari
- 27H. Mubiru
- 7Z. Sereri
- 6F. Salum
- 11I. S. Nado
- 23H. Mao
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 24Y. Fuentes
- 2N. Idumba
- 12P. Msindo
- 32Z. Foba
Geita Gold
4-3-3- 33M. I. Kassim
- 39F. Ngoye
- 68R. Mohamed
- 31Yusufu Valentine Mhilu
- 13A. Yassin
- 23N. Kaboma
- 14C. Tebandeke
- 20T. Muhenga
- 3P. Datius
- 45S. Athuman
- 50E. Mwakyusa
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Geita Gold have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Masr(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Azam wins, 4 draws, 0 Geita Gold wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Geita Gold 2-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Geita Gold 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Azam 2-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Geita Gold 1-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Azam 1-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (23 points from 10 matches) and Geita Gold sit 13th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 23 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
A question about Azam vs Geita Gold?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Azam vs Geita Gold played?
- Azam vs Geita Gold is played on February 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.