Azam vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Geita Gold?
Azam is a heavy favourite: 1,816 Elo points against 1,473 — a 343-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Geita Gold have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Azam win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Geita Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2024 | Geita Gold 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Azam 2-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Geita Gold 1-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Azam 1-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Azam 1-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 3 matches) and Geita Gold sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Azam vs Geita Gold played?
- Azam vs Geita Gold is played on February 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.