Simba vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Pamba Jiji?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,922 Elo points against 1,501 — a 421-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Simba win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pamba Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Simba 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 1-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2025 | Simba 5-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Pamba Jiji 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Simba vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Simba vs Pamba Jiji is played on February 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.