Simba vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Pamba Jiji?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,523, a 474-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs Pamba Jiji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 3I. Abraham
- 20S. Oyugi Siwa
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 32A. Said
- 36H. Kibailo
- 18E. Johola
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Simba wins, 1 draw, 0 Pamba Jiji wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Simba 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 1-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2025 | Simba 5-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Pamba Jiji 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (24 points from 8 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Simba vs Pamba Jiji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Simba vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Simba vs Pamba Jiji is played on February 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.