Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
The Footlab AI model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?
On Elo ratings, Polisi Tanzania has 1,553 points and Kagera Sugar 1,506.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polisi Tanzania
4-3-3- 26A. Jabiri
- 7H. Kyombo
- 11J. Kibaya
- 22F. Evance
- AA. Msanga
- 15K. Kunambi
- 33O. G. Masai
- 2I. Ame
- SS. Onditi
- 28D. Uromi
- 48B. Kakolanya
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polisi Tanzania have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polisi Tanzania wins, 4 draws, 2 Kagera Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 2-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Tanzania on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polisi Tanzania score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polisi Tanzania sit 6th in Ligi kuu Bara (15 points from 11 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 16th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Polisi Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.