Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraMatchday 30Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mbeya City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,572) and Polisi Tanzania (1,569).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 7R. Msuya
- 6M. Malima
- 22V. Mayanga
- 32O. Abdallah
- 11I. Aziz
- 13S. Sweetbert
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 4K. Pillar
- 60B. Maranyingi
- 28K. Pemba
- 30P. Munthari
Polisi Tanzania
4-3-3- 26A. Jabiri
- 7H. Kyombo
- 11J. Kibaya
- 22F. Evance
- AA. Msanga
- 15K. Kunambi
- 33O. G. Masai
- 2I. Ame
- SS. Onditi
- 28D. Uromi
- 48B. Kakolanya
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mbeya City wins, 2 draws, 1 Polisi Tanzania win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Mbeya City 3-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 15, 2022 | Mbeya City 0-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 27, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (13 points from 10 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 6th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | Mbeya City | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania is played on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.