Mashujaa vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,576, a 421-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 51M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 23T. Simba
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 19S. Mgandila
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mashujaa wins, 0 draws, 6 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba 6-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 14, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-3 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Simba 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 2, 2025 | Simba 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Mashujaa 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Simba 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Simba sit 1st (24 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Mashujaa vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Simba played?
- Mashujaa vs Simba is played on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.