Pamba Jiji vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Azam?
Azam is a heavy favourite: 1,818 Elo points against 1,499 — a 319-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Azam have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pamba Jiji win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Azam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 14, 2026 | Azam 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 2-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 1-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Azam 0-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 12th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Azam?
- The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Azam played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Azam is played on May 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.