Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for TuS Koblenz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Schott Mainz (1,846) and TuS Koblenz (1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; TuS Koblenz have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RW Wittlich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gonsenheim(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Auersmacher(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elversberg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Schott Mainz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 TuS Koblenz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | Schott Mainz 4-1 TuS Koblenz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 24, 2024 | TuS Koblenz 1-2 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Schott Mainz 1-0 TuS Koblenz | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 9, 2023 | TuS Koblenz 2-0 Schott Mainz | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 22, 2022 | TuS Koblenz 0-0 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Schott Mainz 2-1 TuS Koblenz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
Last archived meeting: Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Koblenz score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| TuS Koblenz | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and TuS Koblenz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TuS Koblenz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for TuS Koblenz.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz played?
- Schott Mainz vs TuS Koblenz is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026MechtersheimvsAhrweiler
- Oct 10, 2026PirmasensvsElversberg II
- Oct 10, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsGonsenheim
- Oct 10, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsAuersmacher
- Oct 10, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsGau-Odernheim
- Oct 10, 2026FV Engers 07vsRW Wittlich
- Oct 10, 2026DiefflenvsWormatia Worms
- Oct 10, 2026EisbachtalvsHertha Wiesbach