Melbourne City vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melbourne City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Melbourne City starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melbourne City vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melbourne City
4-3-3- 17M. Caputo
- 35M. Memeti
- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 41L. Wong
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 22P. Antoniou
- 4L. Bonetig
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Melbourne City wins, 1 draw, 2 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-3 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Perth Glory 5-4 Melbourne City | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne City sit 6th in A-League (38 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Melbourne City vs Perth Glory played?
- Melbourne City vs Perth Glory is played on April 16, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC) at AAMI Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.