Auckland vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Brisbane Roar?
Auckland starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,687).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auckland vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auckland
4-4-2- 10L. Bayliss
- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 22J. Brimmer
- 8F. Gallegos
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 25L. Vicelich
- 1M. Woud
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 2-5 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Auckland wins, 2 draws, 0 Brisbane Roar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Auckland 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 2-2 Auckland | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Auckland 2-0 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Auckland on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 6th in A-League (3 points from 2 matches) and Brisbane Roar sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auckland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
A question about Auckland vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Auckland vs Brisbane Roar is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.