Match

Mercedes vs Lugano: result 1-0 and analysis

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Liga Mercedes, Mercedes, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Mercedes
1-0
Lugano

Full time

What was the result of Mercedes vs Lugano?

Mercedes won 1-0 on October 12, 2026.

Goalscorers

  • 47′545394Mercedes

What had the model predicted before the match?

Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mercedes win at 38%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-0. Actual score: 1-0.

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercedes have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lugano have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mercedes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Deportivo Paraguayo(away)1-1Primera C
Sep 25, 2026Puerto Nuevo(home)1-0Primera C
Sep 20, 2026Leandro N. Alem(away)1-0Primera C
Sep 10, 2026Deportivo Español(home)1-1Primera C
Sep 4, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(home)0-3Primera C
Lugano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Argentino Rosario(home)2-3Primera C
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo Paraguayo(away)1-1Primera C
Sep 20, 2026Estrella Del Sur(home)1-1Primera C
Sep 12, 2026Leones de Rosario(home)0-0Primera C
Sep 6, 2026Puerto Nuevo(away)1-0Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mercedes wins, 3 draws, 1 Lugano win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Lugano 1-0 MercedesPrimera C
Aug 17, 2025Lugano 0-1 MercedesPrimera C
May 2, 2025Mercedes 1-1 LuganoPrimera C
Oct 26, 2024Mercedes 2-2 LuganoPrimera C
May 27, 2024Lugano 0-0 MercedesPrimera C
Oct 9, 2023Mercedes 2-1 LuganoPrimera D

Last archived meeting: Lugano vs Mercedes on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 1.0 and concede 0.7.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mercedes1.30.975/154/15
Lugano1.00.787/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mercedes sit 5th in Primera C (47 points from 32 matches) and Lugano sit 7th (46 points from 32 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mercedes3212119312447
7Lugano3211138352946

A question about Mercedes vs Lugano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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